A Distributed Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Network for Chaotic Time Series Prediction

نویسنده

  • Margarita Terziyska
چکیده

In this paper a Distributed Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Architecture (DANFA) model with a second order Takagi-Sugeno inference mechanism is presented. The proposed approach is based on the simple idea to reduce the number of the fuzzy rules and the computational load, when modeling nonlinear systems. As a learning procedure for the designed structure a two-step gradient descent algorithm with a fixed learning rate is used. To demonstrate the potentials of the selected approach, simulation experiments with two benchmark chaotic time systems − Mackey-Glass and Rossler are studied. The results obtained show an accurate model performance with a minimal prediction error.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The use of wavelet - artificial neural network and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system models to predict monthly precipitation

Precipitation forecasting due to its random nature in space and time always faced with many problems and this uncertainty reduces the validity of the forecasting model. Nowadays nonlinear networks as intelligent systems to predict such complex phenomena are widely used. One of the methods that have been considered in recent years in the fields of hydrology is use of wavelet transform as a moder...

متن کامل

Design and Simulation of Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference Based Controller for Chaotic Lorenz System

Chaos is a nonlinear behavior that shows chaotic and irregular responses to internal and external stimuli in dynamic systems. This behavior usually appears in systems that are highly sensitive to initial condition. In these systems, stabilization is a highly considerable tool for eliminating aberrant behaviors. In this paper, the problem of stabilization and tracking the chaos are investigated....

متن کامل

Comparison of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model

Proper models for prediction of time series data can be an advantage in making important decisions. In this study, we tried with the comparison between one of the most useful classic models of economic evaluation, auto-regressive integrated moving average model and one of the most useful artificial intelligence models, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), investigate modeling procedur...

متن کامل

Evaluation of the Efficiency of the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) in the Modeling of the Ionosphere Total Electron Content Time Series Case Study: Tehran Permanent GPS Station

Global positioning system (GPS) measurements provide accurate and continuous 3-dimensional position, velocity and time data anywhere on or above the surface of the earth, anytime, and in all weather conditions. However, the predominant ranging error source for GPS signals is an ionospheric error. The ionosphere is the region of the atmosphere from about 60 km to more than 1500 km above the eart...

متن کامل

Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System-Genetic Algorithm Models for Prediction Groundwater Quality Indices: a GIS-based Analysis

The prediction of groundwater quality is very important for the management of water resources and environmental activities. The present study has integrated a number of methods such as Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) methodologies to predict groundwater quality in Kerman plain (including HCO3-, concentrations and Electrical Conductivity (EC) of groundwater)...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2015